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Impossible Odds

Impossible Odds in Mass Murders and Terrorism

Dear friends,

Impossible odds surrounding recent mass murders and terrorist events are being entirely ignored by the media and official sources. I will show here that the statistical odds against several key mass murders happening the way they did are greater than a billion to one. You have better odds of winning the lottery or being struck by lightning than that.

In reporting on many major mass murder and terrorist events in the US and Europe in recent years, including the Paris massacre and killings in San Bernardino, CA, respected media sources have revealed that by "coincidence" a drill was being held the same day and in the same city of the event. Not only that, the drills were practicing for what actually happened.

As a result of these multiple, amazing coincidences, those involved in these drills were then able to immediately go from the practice drill to secure and control the scene of the actual event.

I will show that the astronomical odds against this being coincidence suggest that almost certainly something else is happening here. After presenting the undeniable evidence, I will go into the who, how, and why on these drills. This information may be disturbing for some, as nefarious forces hidden from the public are revealed. Yet if we choose to close our eyes to all of this, these forces will be allowed to grow and fester. If, instead, we shine light into these shadows, we can all come together to reveal what is going on and choose a different, more harmonious path for all of us.

The evidence

Consider the March 15, 2019 mosque shooting in New Zealand. A New York Times article reported that, "The police said a special armed tactical unit ... happened to be in a training session in the city center and wearing their gear," so they were able to arrive on the scene just 10 minutes after the incident.

Then there was the "coincidence" regarding the 2015 San Bernardino shootings. According to NPR, "On the day of the mass shooting in San Bernardino, Calif., the city's SWAT team was training for an active shooter situation just minutes away from the scene of the massacre."

Less than a month before that shooting were the November Paris attacks on Friday the 13th (another interesting coincidence). The UK's Guardian reported, "In an eerie coincidence, last Friday morning Paris’s ambulance, fire services and hospitals had rehearsed a scenario based on a Charlie Hebdo-style attack, with more than 100 casualties from shooting. Hours later this scenario happened for real."

This same coincidence also happened on the day of 9/11 in Washington, DC. As reported by the Associated Press, "In what the government describes as a bizarre coincidence, one U.S. intelligence agency was planning an exercise last Sept. 11 in which an errant aircraft would crash into one of its buildings."

I'll list several others shortly, but perhaps the most astonishing "coincidence" happened with the July 7th (7/7) London bombings in 2005. Let's take a minute to explore this one. Here is the verbatim text of a BBC radio interview with Peter Power, a former Scotland Yard Official who was managing the drill that day:

POWER: At half past nine this morning we were actually running an exercise for a company of over a thousand people in London based on simultaneous bombs going off precisely at the railway stations where it happened this morning, so I still have the hairs on the back of my neck standing up right now.

HOST: To get this quite straight, you were running an exercise to see how you would cope with this, and it happened while you were running the exercise?

POWER: Precisely, and it was about half past nine this morning. We planned this for a company, and for obvious reasons I don't want to reveal their name, but they're listening and they'll know it. And we had a room full of crisis managers for the first time they'd met. And so within five minutes we made a pretty rapid decision that this is the real one, and so we went through the correct drills of activating crisis management procedures to jump from slow time to quick time thinking.

So the manager of a team which was training for a subway terrorist attack that very morning states the bombings unfolded at the very same stations where they had been training. What are the statistical odds of that happening by chance?

The probability

The London Tube (aka the Underground) serves 270 stations. If there had been just one bombing at one of the stations, the probability that a training drill would be held at precisely that station are therefore 270 to one. Now if we add a bombing at a second station, the chances that a second team would be training at that exact station are now 269 to one (270 minus the first station). The odds that both trainings would take place at exactly the two stations where the bombings took place are now one in 270 X 269 divided by two, which equals 36,315.

If we add a third station, the odds are 268 to one that they would choose that precise station for a third training. As there are 3 x 2 x 1 possible orders in which we could have chosen the same three stations, we have to divide the result by (3 x 2 x 1) to avoid overcounting. So the odds that drills were being carried out by coincidence at the exact three stations where the three bombings occurred would be one in 270 X 269 X 268, which equals 19,464,840. We then divide by six possible orders, for a final result of 3,244,140 or over three million to one. Hmmmmmm...

Now on top of that, we have to ask what are the chances that they would be running a multiple-site drill on subway bombings on exactly the same day that the event happened? I can guarantee that before the event, they weren't running subway bombing drills every month. It was probably more like once a year at the most. So if it was once a year, the odds that they would choose to do the drills on the precise day of the actual bombings are 3,244,140 X 365, which equals 1,184,111,100 or roughly one billion to one. Do you think we're stretching the bounds of chance here?

Granted that both the alleged bombers and the training teams may have selected stations based on certain criteria like how crowded or how close to the center of the city they were. That would decrease the odds some. Yet also note that these calculations did not include the high odds against many other major terrorist events having trainings on exactly the same day that the event happened.

The one billion to one calculation is based on the London bombings alone. Add in the chances that each of many such events in different locations also had training exercises on exactly the same day and in the same city where terror events happened, training for the same scenario that happened, and the odds become astronomical.

Using just the date alone, the chances they would run an exercise on that exact date (assuming that they run that particular exercise once a year at most) are 365 to one. So when you consider them all together, the odds of all of these drills happening on the same date in the same place are trillions to one. And then add in that the chances that exercises they ran were almost the same as what happened during the actual event and the odds go off the charts.

Below is a list of events that are known to have had this amazing "coincidence" with quotes from the media given for verification.

Events known to have improbable coincidences

  • Sept. 11, 2001 (9/11), Pentagon, Washington, DC. Associated Press report: "In what the government describes as a bizarre coincidence, one U.S. intelligence agency was planning an exercise last Sept. 11 in which an errant aircraft would crash into one of its buildings." Explore a list of many other drills related to 9/11, including 22 which took place on that day.
  • July 7, 2005, London bombings, London Underground. BBC radio interview with Peter Power: "At half past nine this morning we were actually running an exercise for a company of over a thousand people in London based on simultaneous bombs going off precisely at the railway stations where it happened this morning, so I still have the hairs on the back of my neck standing up right now."
  • July 22, 2011, mass shooting, Utoya Island, Norway. Norwegian newspaper Aftenposten report (translation here and here): "Police sources have confirmed that, hours before the attack on Utoya island, police had conducted a drill for a 'practically identical scenario.' All of the officers from the anti-terror unit that later took part at the bombsite at the government buildings and went out to Utoya to apprehend Anders Behring Breivik had been training on the exact same scenario earlier the same day and in the days preceding."
  • July 20, 2012, "Batman" shooting, Aurora, Colorado. Denver Post article: "The tragedy that played out in an Aurora movie theater Friday was ironically paralleled as a classroom learning experience in a medical school in Parker the same day."
  • Dec. 14, 2012, Sandy Hook school shooting, Newtown, Conn. Local newspaper report: "By grim coincidence, even as the terrible events were unfolding in Newtown on Friday morning, the Putnam County Emergency Response Team (ERT) happened to be assembled for regular training in Carmel, and team members were at that very moment engaged in a mock scenario of an active-shooter in a school."
  • Nov. 13, 2015, Paris attacks, Paris, France. Guardian (UK) report: "In an eerie coincidence, last Friday morning Paris’s ambulance, fire services and hospitals had rehearsed a scenario based on a Charlie Hebdo-style attack, with more than 100 casualties from shooting. Hours later this scenario happened for real." Bloomberg also has a revealing article titled, "Hours Before the Terror Attacks, Paris Practiced for a Mass Shooting." One exercise participant stated the training was a multi-site exercise.
  • Dec. 2, 2015, San Bernardino shootings, Inland Regional Center, San Bernardino, CA. NPR report, "On the day of the mass shooting in San Bernardino, Calif., the city's SWAT team was training for an active shooter situation just minutes away from the scene of the massacre." Fox News affiliate report: "The department’s SWAT team was training nearby and was suited, 'ready to roll' and responded rapidly." Los Angeles Times report: "At the Inland Regional Center ... they have active-shooter drills every month or so."
  • March 15, 2019, Mosque shootings, New Zealand. A New York Times article reported that, "The police said a special armed tactical unit ... happened to be in a training session in the city center and wearing their gear," so they were able to arrive on the scene just 10 minutes after the incident.

We don't know how many other terror events had similar training "coincidences" that weren't reported. For example, with the June 17, 2015 shootings at black churches in Charleston, South Carolina, a federal "Active Shooter Threat Training Program" was being held in Charleston on the day of the shooting, as reported on the Federal Law Enforcement Training Centers website. But this was not reported in any media. Yet the above cases alone are plenty to raise serious questions.

What are the odds that simply "by coincidence" all of these trainings happened in the same place, on the same date, with virtually the same scenario that occurred? It's practically impossible to have just been fate. So now come the hard questions of who, how, and why.

Digging deeper

Terrorist events and mass murders in recent times have instilled fear and rage in people around the world. Politicians have seized on these emotions to pass laws imposing greater surveillance and limiting civil liberties, as well as declaring war on the terrorists and denigrating groups like the Muslims and Syrians.

Yet what if, as claimed by a highly decorated US general, there are hidden forces actually manipulating all of these events in order to promote fear, stoke the fires of the war juggernaut, and pad the gilded pockets of the individuals and mega-corporations who profit from all this?

If these events didn't happen just by coincidence, how did they happen? Who was behind them and how were they involved? For those who have not studied such matters, there is a plausible explanation. Consider first Operation Northwoods, which has been revealed in declassified government documents.

As reported on ABC News, "America's top military leaders drafted plans to kill innocent people and commit acts of terrorism in US cities to trick the public into supporting a war against Cuba in the early 1960s. Approved in writing by the Pentagon Joint Chiefs, Operation Northwoods even proposed blowing up a US ship and hijacking planes as a false pretext for war."

A closer read of the actual declassified documents shows the Pentagon's top generals looking for "pretexts which could provide justification for US military intervention in Cuba." In order to keep their secret plans well hidden, that documents state, "It is recommended that this responsibility for both overt and covert military operations be assigned the Joint Chiefs of Staff." So the top generals of the Pentagon conspired to blow up a US ship and hijack planes and blame it all on Cuba in order to gain the public support necessary to start a war with Cuba. This is all well documented fact.

This type of operation is called false flag terrorism, a term used to describe operations kept secret from the public in which a government or other entity purposely attacks itself in order to trick citizens into supporting their hidden agenda. False flag operations are nothing new. They have been used for centuries to cause fear and panic in the public so that those behind them can push through a plan to which the public would otherwise never agree.

Is it possible that some of the mass murders and terrorism mentioned above were false flag operations? If we ask who benefits, we see the results of these mass murders have most certainly benefited the politicians, military, and intelligence services clamoring for ever greater surveillance and ever more war. Without the fear generated by 9/11 and similar events, the public would never have submitted to such things at the Patriot Act and much more. So whoever is behind them, these terrorist events certainly benefit those who want more power and control over our lives.

A question naturally arises. With so many involved, how is it possible to keep such a plan secret? You have to realize that those involved in these exercises and drills are not aware of the deeper agenda. Even those who lead the drills are rarely in the know. Drill participants are part of a hierarchical command structure where those below carry out orders of those above them without question.

It is usually many levels above the drill leaders where the decision is made as to what drill will be carried out, when, and where. Secrets can be kept well when you have a strict compartmentalized structure such as those found in the military and intelligence services. False flag plans are hatched by rogue elements at very high levels in these agencies.

Remember that Mr. Power, the manager of the London bombing exercises, had "the hairs on the back of my neck standing up." He likely had no idea how by bizarre coincidence his drills perfectly matched the plot that unfolded. And remember how the top Pentagon generals restricted knowledge about Northwoods. It is likely that even lower level generals were not informed in order to keep the plans tightly compartmentalized and minimize the risk of a leak.

The only reason the Northwoods documents were declassified is that they were never carried out, as President Kennedy rejected the plan. If the plans had taken place and the U.S. had then attacked Cuba, you can bet the documents would still be sealed as top secret.

There is no doubt that there are many such documents which prove massive manipulation of public opinion through false flags which have never been declassified and are unlikely to see the light of day any time soon. You can find an excellent survey of false flag terrorism in recent history on this webpage. So the above terrorist attacks may have been false flag operations, but who were the people involved?

Who are the terrorists?

What about the people who carried out these acts, you might ask. Did they know about the false flag aspect? Sometimes they are simply unaware citizens who were carefully selected as people the public will believe might do such a thing. Others secretly do the dirty deed and those blamed for it are then killed during or shortly after the event to cover it up.

This may be what happened with the couple which has been accused in the San Bernardino killings. They clearly were Muslims and there is evidence (though some of it may have been faked) that they had extremist leanings. But if search, you will find that their friends, neighbors and colleagues were largely shocked and incredulous, though notice how the media sometimes leads them to agree that it must have been the couple who committed the crime.

Consider also that one direct eyewitness stated on CBS news that she saw "three men dressed in all black military attire with vests on holding assault rifles." The host asks, "You're certain that you saw three men?" She answers, "Yes. They were white. They looked like they had athletic builds, and they appeared to be tall." Another witness on an NBC affiliate report described "three white men in military fatigues." More on this here. And the couple was killed shortly after the event.

That is only one answer to the questions of who and how. A second answer involves the concept of Manchurian Candidates. Declassified documents from the 1950s prove that the CIA developed Manchurian Candidates in programs like MKULTRA. Through drugs, hypnosis, and torture, the CIA successfully fragmented subjects' personalities and created super spies who didn't even know they were spies.

The core personality of a Manchurian Candidate is not aware that there are other alter personalities that surface when called out through code words. These alters can be trained to steal, plant bombs, murder, and sexually seduce targeted individuals, yet the core personality will have no memory what was done afterward.

This all may sound like fantasies from science fiction, but we have the government documents which prove all of this. See this excellent webpage for key excerpts from numerous declassified documents that anyone can order from the government on these programs. Declassified CIA document 190527 describes two young women who were successfully trained to be bombers, yet had no memory of planting bombs once they were called back to their normal personality.

How many of the alleged terrorists in the events above might have been Manchurian Candidates programmed to carry out their acts of terror in an altered state?

Though the CIA claims this program was shut down, we know through inside sources that these techniques continue to be widely used not only by the CIA, but by other intelligence agencies and even many private groups around the globe. There are literally armies of these super spies that play a hidden role in global politics which has altered the course of history in ways that would shock people if they knew the truth. And yet if you follow the links given here, you can find and verify all of this yourself. The best overall survey on this topic is available here.

What can we do?

If you are new to all of this, you may feel like you've taken the red pill and feel your world spinning. Please know that there are literally millions around the world who have been aware of these things for years. Thousands of websites like cover this material and are helping to successfully wake up caring citizens around the globe in ever larger numbers. And as we all come together, the truth is coming out. We hope that you will join us in spreading the word so that we eventually hit a tipping point where the media is forced to cover such matters.

For an excellent, two-page summary of how all this fits into the big picture of life on planet Earth, read an incisive essay titled "Building a Brighter Future." You might also be interested in my personal story of taking the red pill while still working as a language interpreter at the White House, then becoming a whistleblower, and on to developing the website, which has helped to awaken millions to the greater realities.

And whenever you might feel ready, if you want to understand in greater detail the many ways in which our perception of the world is manipulated, the meticulously researched online document "Lifting the Veil" is the best summary I've ever seen. This is the kind of work that is powerfully transforming our world!

The good news is that at the same time as many incredibly disturbing things are happening well hidden from public view, there are also many incredibly exciting things taking place which the media sadly fails to give adequate coverage. For a couple samples of this, see our article titled "Why We're Not All Screwed" and watch the awesome six-minute video "Blessed Unrest," which shows how, though few are aware of it, millions around the world are coming together to make a difference.

We live in exciting times! If you find yourself slipping into fear or anger with all of this, remember that is what these rogue elements want you to feel. When a person is in fear and anger, it is much easier to control and manipulate them.

When instead, we each choose transform fear and anger into meaningful action, we can then powerfully play our part and reach out to the part of the world we can change. Together, we can transform our world for the good of all. I invite you to join us in this exciting adventure! And thanks so much for your willingness to explore such dark matters. I have no doubt that together, we will build a brighter future for us all.

With best wishes for a transformed world,
Fred Burks for PEERS and
Former White House interpreter and whistleblower

Note: Check out to this powerful compilation showing that ISIS is largely a creation of Western intelligence services, including a quote from a USAF general stating, "we helped build ISIS."

Error: When I first posted this message on Dec. 11, 2015, I calculated the odds as over seven billion to one. A supporter who knows his statistics later pointed out that I had not divided that number by (3 X 2 X 1) for the three stations to avoid overcounting, as must be done in statistics. I therefore changed the article above to reflect this. One billion to one odds is still pretty damn strong!

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